Betting football system
January 28th NFL news ... Welcome to Betting football system, the informational site for those that bet on football.Welcome to bettingfootballsystem.com, the informational site for those that bet on football.
In order to score a profit over the long run, the football bettor needs to be in tune with all of the key trends, stats and news.
By logging on throughout the football season you will get all of the key info in addition to write-ups on games.
Latest NFL News
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (4-7) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-8)2011-12-05
Sportsbook.com Line & Total: San Diego -3 (-125) & 39
Opening Line & Total: Chargers -3 & 41
The Jaguars play their first game since 2003 without head coach Jack Del Rio when they host the slumping Chargers on Monday Night Football.
Del Rio, who posted a 68-71 record in his tenure with Jacksonville, was fired on Tuesday and will be replaced by defensive coordinator Mel Tucker, who hasnt decided on which one of his subpar quarterbacks (Blaine Gabbert or Luke McCown) will start on Monday night. But in terms of making mistakes, no QB has been more turnover-prone than San Diegos Philip Rivers who leads the NFL with 17 interceptions, tossing 10 picks during his teams current six-game losing skid. The Jags defense has been inconsistent all year but, outside of the Saints, no one has moved the ball on them in Jacksonville. They also have the most consistent running back in the NFL in Maurice Jones-Drew, who has rushed for 80+ yards in all but one of his teams 11 games and leads the AFC with 1,040 rushing yards on the season.
The Chargers have a chance to win one against a Jaguars team that doesnt pose a threat to their depleted secondary. They also had little trouble throwing on Jacksonvilles secondary last year in a 38-13 blowout win. Rivers tossed 3 TD passes and finished with 334 yards through the air. Despite last weeks OT loss to Denver, the Chargers beleaguered offensive line played much better, allowing the team to rush for 185 yards. Ryan Mathews ran for 137 of those yards on just 22 carries (6.2 YPC), proving that his bothersome knee injury is close to 100 percent. No. 1 WR Vincent Jackson continued his roller coaster season, catching only two passes for 25 yards against the Broncos. For the season, Jackson has six games of fewer than 50 receiving yards and four games of 100+ yards. He could have another down week facing Jacksonvilles fourth-best pass defense (183 YPG).
The Jaguars QB situation is certainly unsettled. Rookie QB Blaine Gabbert has the worst passer rating in the entire league (62.2), and he was benched in last weeks loss to Houston in favor of Luke McCown. The eight-year veteran started the season as the No. 1 QB, but lost his job in the middle of Week 2 after throwing four interceptions against the Jets. McCown was serviceable in the Texans game (7-of-11, 62 yards) but his career passer rating of 68.5 (6.4 YPA, 9 TD, 14 INT) doesnt inspire much confidence. Not only has Jones-Drew done the job rushing the football, but hes now getting more involved in the passing game, tallying 11 receptions in the past three weeks. He had just 12 catches in his first eight games this year. San Diegos secondary should be able to limit whichever QB is under center, but its run defense will have a hard time stopping Jones-Drew. The Chargers currently place 25th in the NFL in run defense, allowing 132 rushing YPG.
Texas Sized Showdown
2010-09-21
Sportsbook.com Line: Houston -3, Total: 46.5
Bragging rights for the state of Texas are on the line Sunday at 1 PM ET as the undefeated Houston Texans host the surprisingly winless Dallas Cowboys.
Despite being favored in their first two games, Dallas is 0-2. Houston rushed for 257 yards in a season-opening win against Indianapolis and then took to the air in a 30-27 overtime-comeback win in Washington in Week 2.
The Cowboys may not be at full strength for Sunday’s game. Star tight end Jason Witten is questionable after suffering a concussion in the loss to Chicago. CB Mike Jenkins is also questionable for Sunday’s game with a knee injury.
The biggest question in “Big D” is the Cowboys offense, which has just two offensive touchdowns this year. Tony Romo has thrown for 656 yards, but has just two TD and two INT to show for it. Granted, the two picks were the result of tipped balls and not poor throws, but there is no excuse for the Cowboys running game. Dallas rushed for a meager 36 yards against Chicago as Felix Jones was held to seven yards on seven carries.
No such offensive problems are present with the Texans. Matt Schaub threw for 497 yards against the Redskins and Arian Foster leads the NFL in rushing with 300 yards. Andre Johnson, the best wide receiver on the planet right now, caught 12 passes for 158 yards and a touchdown in the win over Washington. Johnson left Sunday’s game with a sprained right ankle, but was able to return, and also expects to play against Dallas this week.
These teams have only met twice in the past. Houston’s first-ever NFL game in 2002 was a stunning 19-10 upset over Dallas. The Cowboys waited four years to get their revenge, then blew out the Texans 34-6 in a 2006 game.
Bettors that think Dallas will get back on the covering track will be pleased to read the following betting trend:
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game. (36-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*).
Meanwhile, if you are planning on betting on the ‘total’, pay attention to this trend:
Play Over - Any team against the total (DALLAS) - after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. (55-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.3%, +33 units. Rating = 3*).
Now that you have the key numbers on Sunday’s Cowboys @ Texans game, head over to Sportsbook.com to place your bets. After making your wagers, be sure to check out the always popular $100,000 Perfect Parlay promotion.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview
2009-08-24
As far as NFL preseason games go, this Monday night contest has a number of story lines to follow. The New York Jets have a new head coach in Rex Ryan and it is taking all of one game to return to Baltimore, where he spent the last 10 years, the last four as defensive coordinator. While Ryan will acquaint himself with friends on the Ravens sidelines and others in the stands, he will have to soon make his first really challenging decision of who will the Flyboys starting quarterback. (Be sure to check the latest wagering action by visiting the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages.)
In many ways it’s a no-lose decision, since top draft choice Mark Sanchez will be under center as the starting quarterback in New York eventually. Sanchez is battling with holdover Kellen Clemens and the former USC Trojan will take the field first when the Jets have the ball on Monday.
New York lost at home to St. Louis 23-20 as four-point favorites and arrives in Baltimore in a favorable spot. The Jets are three-point underdogs at Sportsbook.com and underdogs (or Pick) off an upset loss as a favorite are 29-9 ATS this week of the preseason.
Sanchez, Clemens and Erik Anige will go against what has been one the best defenses of this decade in the Ravens. Linebacker Ray Lewis may no longer have the speed and quickness of a few seasons ago, yet he spearheads a fearsome bunch that enjoys hitting whatever moves in opposing uniforms. The defense befuddled Washington last week, holding them to 196 total points and kept them from registering any points.
Offensively, second year signal caller Joe Flacco was efficient 9-of-15 for 103 yards in two series and will see greater action this week. Troy Smith will follow Flacco after throwing for 200 yards last week, part of the 500 yards the Ravens totaled. With John Beck out with shoulder injury, Baltimore signed Cleo Lemon this week, since he is familiar with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron's system, having played in Miami when Cameron was there. With last week’s shutout win, Baltimore is 4-5 ATS at home the last five years in the preseason.
Oddsmakers have set the total at 32.5 and which would appear to favor New York who is 11-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 35 or less. The low figure could also attract the attention of totals players, with the Ravens 22-10 UNDER as a favorite and 11-2 UNDER as a home favorite of three points or less.
Kickoff is set for 8 Eastern on ESPN with New York 6-2 SU and ATS in its last eight preseason games as the visitor.
StatFox Power Line – Baltimore by 2
NFL: New Orleans at Chicago (8:15 PM ET, NFL Network)
2008-12-11
After playing for the NFC championship in 2006, New Orleans and Chicago are in danger of missing the playoffs for a second straight season. Both teams will post a better record than last year’s 7-9 mark, but the way the conference is shaping up it could take as many as 10 victories to qualify for postseason play, which means the loser is probably all but done.
In the suddenly strapping NFC South, New Orleans (9-4 ATS) sits alone in last place with a record of 7-6. A 29-25 home win over Atlanta kept its slim playoff hopes alive while dropping the surprising Falcons to 8-5. If the Saints were in the NFC North they’d have fewer hurdles to climb.
New Orleans has struggled mightily in true road tilts, winning just one of six games while allowing an average of 28.3 points per game. The Saints gave up 29 points in Washington, 34 in Denver, 30 in Carolina, 34 in Atlanta, 20 in Kansas City and 23 in Tampa Bay. Their offense, which ranks first in the NFL in total yards (405.8 per game), overcame the defensive deficiency only against the Chiefs. The offense drops four points per game as visitors and the Saints are 2-5 ATS off a straight up win. Including the aforementioned NFC title game, it’s the third straight year the Saints will play in blustery conditions at Soldier Field.
At 7-6 after beating Jacksonville, the Bears (6-6-1 ATS) are just one game behind first-place Minnesota. Chicago advanced to Super Bowl XLI with a 39-14 triumph over New Orleans on Jan. 21, 2007, then 11 months later won last year’s regular-season finale by a 33-25 margin. Chicago survived each time despite allowing Drew Brees to pass for more than 300 yards. He had 354 yards in the playoff game and 320 more last Dec. 30, but he received little support from the defense and special teams. Chicago is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61 percent or better in the second half of the season.
Brees, who seems capable of throwing for 300 yards in his sleep, will test a Chicago pass defense that ranks 28th in the league. The best thing the Bears can do to counter is control the time of possession with busy rookie running back Matt Forte, who has been a bright spot with 1,476 total yards and 10 touchdowns. The Bears rookie has a good balance of speed and power, which allows him to break tackles and make guys miss. He also is a harder hitter than people realize.
Sportsbook.com has Chicago as a three-point choice with a total of 45. The Bears off last week’s win are 2-9 ATS after a victory. The total could be important with Chicago 16-4 OVER as a home favorite since 2006 and New Orleans 15-5 OVER in road games off a home win against a division rival.
This will be another NFL Network contest starting at 8:15 Eastern and a number of Thursday night angles appear. When both teams were favored in prior contest, the UNDER is 12-6. Another situation shows when both clubs were favored in last game, the home team is 14-6-1 ATS. The Saints are ungodly 1-7 ATS on this day of the week.
StatFox Forecaster- New Orleans covers
StatFox Power Line- New Orleans by 2
StatFox OutPlay Factor- Chicago by 1
NFL: Sunday Late Afternoon Starts (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS)
2008-10-03
There are four different NFL late afternoon starts, opening up numerous wagering opportunities for those looking to capitalize. The big game is in Denver where two 3-1 teams meet, the Buccaneers and Broncos. 90% of the money as of Friday was on the hosts, but that could change before the 4:05 PM ET kickoff. Be sure to check the latest numbers on this game and the three other before putting your money down. Here’s a quick look at the Tampa-Denver and Buffalo-Arizona games.
(421) TAMPA BAY at (422) DENVER
Denver’s defensive ineptitude finally cost the team a game last week, and it was an embarrassing one. The Broncos yielded 370 yards and 33 points to a Chiefs team that had lost 12 straight contests and mustered just 30 points in its prior three games of ’08. For ‘08, the Broncos are a respectable 3-1, but are now just a game ahead of San Diego in the AFC West and still yielding more than 412 yards per game defensively. Here they’ll play as a 4-point opening line favorite against a Tampa Bay team that shares the same won-lost mark. From a trend perspective, the Bucs have a couple of edges: TAMPA BAY is 16-5 ATS in its L21 games vs. excellent passing teams averaging >=7.5 passing yards/attempt. Plus, Denver is just 6-18 ATS in its L24 games as a favorite.
(425) BUFFALO at (426) ARIZONA
Buffalo is one of just two teams that are 4-0 at this point in the NFL season, and the Bills look to head into their bye week with a 5th straight win, this time at Arizona. However, a win would be the franchise’s first pre-bye week outright victory in 10 years. They are 2-6-1 ATS in that span. Other angles point well to HC Dick Jauron’s team though, who is 11-2 ATS in its L13 games versus excellent passing teams averaging >= 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Bills are also on a run of 17-4 ATS against the NFC West Division. The Cardinals have lost back-to-back games after starting 2-0. They allowed 56 points to the Jets and 80 in the last two weeks overall, the most in a two-game span since ’02. Arizona is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS vs. the AFC under Ken Whisenhunt.